What will our economic future look like?

Anthropic’s Economics team built a model projecting AI’s impact on U.S. jobs, growth, and unemployment through 2030, allowing users to input AI capability and adoption assumptions. Scenarios range from modest growth with stable wages to historically unprecedented growth that depresses wages and job prospects for knowledge workers, while overall wealth rises. The model treats occupations as task bundles, showing how AI can augment, automate, or generate new tasks, reshaping productivity and labor composition.